Junk-bond buyers appear to have a blind spot when it comes to for-profit health care companies.
They’ve snapped up bonds of Tenet Healthcare Corp. and Community Health Systems Inc. despite the drastically souring outlook for both hospital operators. Some of this may be idiosyncratic or the result of specific investors’ strategies (or unwillingness to sell). Franklin Resources Inc., for example, now owns nearly 20% of Community Health’s total debt and more than half of its $1.9 billion of bonds maturing in 2019, according to recent filings compiled by Bloomberg.
In general, however, as credit investors plow into broad indexes of riskier assets, it appears they’re simply turning a blind eye to the ugly balance sheets of hospital operators amid an increasingly difficult backdrop. Federal programs like Medicaid are clamping down on costs. And the Trump administration’s various efforts to weaken the individual insurance market will potentially put hospitals on the hook for more uncompensated care as fewer people sign up for health care coverage.
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Meanwhile, Tenet and Community Health made some questionable decisions in recent years to borrow billions of dollars to make acquisitions that now look pricey. These companies don’t generate a ton of cash at the best of times, and much of what they do have now goes to debt service rather than much needed hospital improvements.
These hospital operators have a narrowing field of options right now. Tenet recently tried, and failed, to sell itself, which sent its shares plunging on Thursday. Both hospitals report earnings within the next few weeks. If HCA Healthcare is any guide — the company pre-announced worse-than-expected third-quarter earnings last week — they won’t be pretty.
But still, no one in the bond market seems to care. Tenet’s bonds have soared 7.8% so far this year, even though its stock has fallen 13.3%. Community Health debt has gained 16.5%, four times the 4.1% gain in its shares.
This seems sort of ludicrous. One hedge fund manager, Boaz Weinstein of Saba Capital Management, sees this as an opportunity to short some of these companies’ junior bonds. Weinstein pointed out at a conference this month that Community Health’s $14 billion pile of debt is 20 times the value of its equity.