So far, 2014 has been a year of surprises. From Russian rumblings to global cooling, this has been the year the predictors has gotten it all wrong.
On the investing front, perhaps the most astonishing development is the rally in Treasuries. Few if any pundits called for rates to drop. But indeed they have, to the point where U.S. government bonds have returned more year-to-date than even the riskiest distressed debt.
And let’s not forget stocks. While there isn’t much real logic to support a meaningful slide in equities, the argument for a continued bull run also seem a bit thin. Yet the market keeps making new highs while volatility sinks.