When it comes to your client’s retirement plan and trying to “time the markets,” good luck, because no one knows when the market will go up, and no one knows when the market will go down.
Jim Cramer does not know, and Dave Ramsey does not know. Suze Orman does not know. Your client’s broker does not know. No one knows.
Do you know what the stock market crashes of 2001, 2008, and 2020 have in common? No one saw them coming; the economy was excellent; unemployment was low, morale was strong. And then, virtually overnight, the stock market crashed. And when it did, it left millions of people financially and emotionally devastated.
In just 23 trading days starting on Feb. 20, 2020, the stock market dropped a combined total of 10,997 points. This included the worst week on Wall Street since the 2008 financial disaster, when the market dropped 4,011 in just five days.
The volatility during this month of trading was unlike anything that has ever existed. The market experienced violent swings, with one-day losses as high as 2,997 points, and one-day gains as high as 2,113 points. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped from a 52-week high of 29,568 in early 2020 to 18,591 in late March.
Clients in their 30s or 40s were probably not too concerned about this.