The new government COVID-19 tracking map shows that most of the country seems to be moving in the right direction, but that the outbreak might be flaring up in Wisconsin, and in the Mountain States.
The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has put numbers, maps and charts telling the outbreak story in its latest weekly COVIDView newsletter.
- The CDC’s weekly COVID-19 report is available here.
- The CDC’s provisional COVID-19 mortality data table is available here.
- An overview article about the latest weekly COVID-19 report is available here.
Because testing for any new disease is often difficult, and because testing for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), the virus that causes COVID-19, has been especially difficult, the CDC includes data on indicators such as total deaths as well as data on deaths officially linked to COVID-19.
The CDC also provides several types of early warning sign numbers, including data on how many “influenza-like illness” patients primary care doctors, urgent care centers and hospital emergency rooms are seeing.
Better access to SARS-Cov-2 testing may change the numbers, but, up till now, about 6% of confirmed COVID-19 cases have ended in death, according to OurWorldinData.org. Many people who die from COVID-19 spend weeks in the hospital before they die. That means the number of new cases cropping up in a state may indicate how many people will be dying from COVID-19 within the next few weeks.
The CDC depends on states to report complete, accurate data to develop its COVID-19 tracking report.
In spite of public health officials’ need for good outbreak data, some states have been slow to send in their data.
In some places, critics of state and local officials have accused officials of distorting outbreak-related data for political reasons.
The data the CDC is reporting suggests activity is at very low or minimal levels, or falling toward minimal levels, in most of the country.
One concern is that COVID-19 and COVID-19-like cases have started to crop up in Montana and Mexico.
Activity appears to be increasingly rapidly in Idaho.
Activity was already at a moderate level in Wisconsin and appears to have increased one notch.
We’ve posted activity maps in the slideshow above.
We’ve reported state data, and data for New York City, which reports its data as if it were a state, in tables below.
Deaths by State* (Week ending May 2)
|State||COVID Deaths||Pneumonia Deaths||Total Deaths||Percent of Expected Deaths|
|District of Columbia||19||22||83||69%|
|New York City||988||451||1,985||197%|
|“NA” here means that a state either failed to report data, or that the number of cases reported was between 1 and 9 and was left out for privacy reasons. States with entries in italics have reported deaths below 60% of the expected figure and appear to have submitted incomplete data, or no data.|
|Soure: CDC, Provisional Death Counts for Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19)|
Deaths by Week in New York City
|Week, Ending Date||COVID-19 Deaths||Pneumonia Deaths||Flu Deaths||Pneumonia, Flu, and COVID-19 Deaths||Total Deaths||Percent of Expected Deaths|
— Read 7 Things the Senate Is Hearing About Covid-19, for Agents, on ThinkAdvisor.