In the weekly COVIDView reports, the CDC includes a map of community-level 'flu-like' case activity, to show what's happening with new COVID-19 cases. That map implies that all states are pretty healthy. But...

...this CDC COVID-19 map, which is not included in the weekly COVIDView reports, shows that COVID-19 patients are filling a high percentage of the hospital beds throughout most of the South and Southwest. And...

...this CDC chart shows that, excluding New York state, which had a terrible, chart-distorting outbreak, U.S. COVID-19 hospitalized patient numbers fell in May, bottomed out in mid-June, and are now back up to April levels. And....

...this chart shows why hospital administrators in Arizona have been so worrried. The number of Arizona COVID-19 patients was holding steady at about 1,000, then shot up to more than 3,000 in mid-June.

The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) is still publishing a weekly COVIDView report that makes the United States look as if it’s beaten COVID-19.

The CDC is also posting a separate set of maps and charts, which is not included in the COVIDView reports, that shows that people with COVID-19 are filling a huge number, and percentage, of the hospital beds in states like Arizona, Georgia and Texas.

 

Resources

  • The CDC’s weekly COVID-19 report is available here.
  • The CDC’s COVID-19 hospital capacity reports are available here.
  • An overview article about the weekly COVID-19 report for the previous week is available here.

To cope with problems with COVID-19 testing, the CDC uses a map showing what’s happening with “influenza-like illnesses” out in the community, at primary care offices, urgent care clinics and hospital emergency rooms.

The idea is that the activity level for true influenza is very low right now, and typical early cases of COVID-19 look enough like the flu for the same tracking map to work for both flu and COVID-19.

But, at this point, the COVIDView tracking map seems to be broken: It’s continuing to show, as it has for weeks, that all states are reporting a very low, or minimal, number of new flu-like (or COVID-19-like) cases out in the community.

Another, separate website,  a hospital capacity snapshot website, is telling a different story.

The hospital capacity map there shows that, as of July 10, patients with confirmed or suspected COVID-19 were filling at least 10% of all inpatient hospital beds in nine states: Alabama, Arizona, California, Florida, Georgia, Maryland, Nevada, South Carolina and Texas

Single-state charts for those states shows that the number of people hospitalized with COVID-19 bottomed out there sometime in May or June, then started to shoot up around mid-June.

The U.S. COVID-19 map tells a similar, quieter story: The number of people hospitalized with COVID-19 bottomed out in mid-June and has started to increase.

New York state had a very severe COVID-19 outbreak in April. Including the New York state numbers, overall U.S. COVID-19 hospitalization numbers are still lower than they were in April. But, excluding the New York state numbers, overall U.S. COVID-19 hospitalization numbers are now about as high as they were in April.

In Arizona, for example, the number of people hospitalized with COVID-19 was holding steady at around 1,000 and now has increased to more than 3,000 in the latest data.

The percentage of beds occupied by people with COVID-19 is changing, because the hardest-hit states are taking emergency steps to increase the number of beds available. But, as of July 7, the percentage of beds occupied by patients with confirmed or suspected COVID-19 ranged from 1.1%, in Hawaii, up to about 24%, in Arizona, with a median of about 3.9%.

For a look at the percentage, for each state, of inpatient hospital beds filled with patients with confirmed or suspected cases of COVID-19, as of July 7, see the table below.

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Where the Hospitalized COVID-19 Patients Are

Hospitalized COVID-19 patients, as a % of all hospitalized patients
Alaska 3.3
Alabama 10.4
Arkansas 6.5
Arizona 23.6
California 10.6
Colorado 2.3
Connecticut 3
District of Columbia 4.6
Delaware 3.3
Florida 14.6
Georgia 13.4
Hawaii 1.1
Iowa 2.5
Idaho 2.9
Illinois 4.1
Indiana 4.2
Kansas 2.6
Kentucky 5.4
Louisiana 7
Massachusetts 4.1
Maryland 13
Maine 1.9
Michigan 2.3
Minnesota 3.7
Missouri 4.4
Mississippi 9
Montana 3.6
North Carolina 5.5
North Dakota 3.9
Nebraska 4.2
New Hampshire 2.6
New Jersey 4.8
New Mexico 3.2
Nevada 12.8
New York 3.9
Ohio 4.2
Oklahoma 4.2
Oregon 3.2
Pennsylvania 3.9
Puerto Rico 1
Rhode Island 3.2
South Carolina 12.8
South Dakota 3.9
Tennessee 4.9
Texas 15.5
Utah 5.3
Virginia 3.3
Vermont 1.2
Washington 3.7
Wisconsin 2.8
West Virginia 2.1
Wyoming 1.7
UNITED STATES 7.4

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— Read 7 Reasons the U.S. COVID-19 Picture Is So Fuzzyon ThinkAdvisor.

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