(Bloomberg) — The U.S. economy continued to expand across most of the country, while wage growth was described as varying widely, “from flat to strong,” a Federal Reserve report showed.
Seven of the Fed’s 12 regional districts characterized the economy as growing “moderately,” at a “modest pace” or “slightly,” according to the central bank’s Beige Book, an economic survey published eight times a year.
Reports on manufacturing were mixed, with the sector continuing to suffer as a strengthening dollar and a “weakening global outlook” took a toll on overseas sales.
Members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) gather in two weeks to discuss their outlook for the economy and set the Fed’s benchmark interest rate. While recent data on jobs, consumer spending and inflation have been mostly positive, concerns about global growth and financial market volatility have reduced expectations for a rate increase this month.
What Your Peers Are Reading
Investors see only a 12 percent probability of a rate hike at the FOMC’s March 15-16 meeting, based on prices in federal funds futures contracts. The committee tightened policy for first time in almost a decade in December, lifting the target range of the fed funds rate to 0.25 percent to 0.5 percent.
The Fed’s survey showed that while wages generally increased since the start of the year, the growth was inconsistent.
The Kansas City, Richmond and Atlanta regions reported “flat wage growth.” In the St. Louis district, growth in pay was reported by 56 percent of contacts, the most in two years, according to the report, released Wednesday in Washington.
Pay varied by skill throughout the country as well. Positive wage growth was evident in seven Fed regions for high- skilled employees, while five Fed banks noted wage growth among lower-skilled and entry-level workers.