Just about every forecast of how the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act of 2010 (PPACA) will affect employer-sponsored health insurance comes up with a different number,.
John Dicken, a director at the U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO), presents that conclusion in a discussion of how PPACA might affect the group health market.
Dicken summarizes GAO investigators’ findings in response to a request from Sen. Michael Enzi, R-Wyo.
The GAO investigators created 5 PPACA simulations of their own, and they also reviewed the results from 19 employer surveys.
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The GAO investigators came up with predictions that PPACA could reduce enrollment in group health plans as much as 2.5% or increase enrollment as much as 2.5% during the first 2 years that the law is in effect, Dicken says.
“Two of the studies also indicated that the majority of individuals who lose employer-sponsored coverage would transition to other sources of coverage,” Dicken says.