Just about every forecast of how the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act of 2010 (PPACA) will affect employer-sponsored health insurance comes up with a different number,.
John Dicken, a director at the U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO), presents that conclusion in a discussion of how PPACA might affect the group health market.
Dicken summarizes GAO investigators’ findings in response to a request from Sen. Michael Enzi, R-Wyo.
The GAO investigators created 5 PPACA simulations of their own, and they also reviewed the results from 19 employer surveys.
The GAO investigators came up with predictions that PPACA could reduce enrollment in group health plans as much as 2.5% or increase enrollment as much as 2.5% during the first 2 years that the law is in effect, Dicken says.
“Two of the studies also indicated that the majority of individuals who lose employer-sponsored coverage would transition to other sources of coverage,” Dicken says.