The consensus is pretty clear: The mid-term elections could result in Republicans taking control of the House and gaining more seats in the Senate.
On the House side, says Marc Caden, senior vice president of government affairs for the Association of Advanced Life Underwriting (AALU) in Washington, “there are somewhere in the neighborhood of 70 competitive races where Republicans are winning, or are close, where Democrats currently hold seats.” Today, “there are about 35 House seats that have Democratic incumbents trailing Republican challengers. So, [Republicans] are in an excellent position to take the House back.”
David Tittsworth, executive director of the Investment Adviser Association (IAA) in Washington, agrees that “It is certainly possible that Republicans could take control of the House, the Senate, or both.” The 2010 mid-term elections, he says, “could result in dramatic changes on Capitol Hill.”
But Tittsworth says he remains skeptical that Republicans will be able to achieve a filibuster-proof majority of 60 or more in the Senate. “As a practical matter, that means that Republicans will have to work with Democrats to score any significant legislative victories of their own.”