When tasked with providing a birthday cake for a party, you typically can do one of two things — either buy a pre-made birthday cake, or buy all the individual ingredients and make the cake yourself. I’ll be the first to admit, I run straight to the bakery section of my local grocer to purchase the already constructed cake, as they are the professionals, and I am far from it.
This analogy is similar to investing in a self-directed 401(k) plan. Participants of employer sponsored 401(k) plans typically have a similar decision to make. Either they can select their investments from the myriad of mutual fund offerings and determine the appropriate mix, or they can invest 100% into a target date fund based on their retirement date.
Based on this analogy, one can see why target date funds have grown in popularity, particularly in 401(k) plans. Target date funds make life easier for the individual plan participants, which is most important; however, they can cause headaches for the fiduciary who is tasked with analyzing the different offerings.
In the below analysis, we show how fiduciaries can use returns-based style analysis (RBSA) to determine the factors that contribute to the under/outperformance of target date funds.
In the example below, we selected target-date funds that range in retirement dates (2020, 2030 and 2040), from two different fund families (ABC Investments and XYZ Funds). Figure 1 displays the annualized returns of the individual funds for the two different fund families. As you can see, the ABC funds outperform across the board.
We could stop here, but a complete analysis doesn’t end at returns. By definition, target date funds invest in a wide array of different investments, at different weights. A comprehensive analysis should include an understanding of what factors contributed to the ABC funds’ outperformance and the XYZ funds’ underperformance.
Managers of target date funds are allowed flexibility over their asset allocation decisions, as their portfolio allocations may differ within the same retirement target-date category. As one can expect, individual mangers may have varying opinions on what an optimal allocation is for an investor retiring in 2040. These allocations are very important, as more than 90% of a portfolio’s variation in returns is attributed to asset allocation. The underlying investments of each fund also drive performance for the individual target date funds. It is important to understand whether the over/underperformance is due to allocation decisions or the selection of the underlying investments.
In this analysis, we used the below five asset classes and the representative index to conduct the RBSA analysis.
Due to the managers’ flexible asset allocation mandates, locating an appropriate benchmark when comparing funds with similar objectives, but different allocations, can be troublesome. Not all is lost however, as RBSA provides fiduciaries the perfect tool to solve this problem.