Close Close
Popular Financial Topics Discover relevant content from across the suite of ALM legal publications From the Industry More content from ThinkAdvisor and select sponsors Investment Advisor Issue Gallery Read digital editions of Investment Advisor Magazine Tax Facts Get clear, current, and reliable answers to pressing tax questions
Luminaries Awards
ThinkAdvisor

Retirement Planning > Social Security

A primer on chained Consumer Price Index

X
Your article was successfully shared with the contacts you provided.

President Barack Obama’s 2014 budget includes a key change in the way the government measures inflation. If adopted, the chained Consumer Price Index would have far-reaching effects because so many programs are adjusted each year based on year-to-year changes in consumer prices.

How it would work:

The new measure would show a lower level of inflation than the more widely used Consumer Price Index.

It assumes that as prices rise, consumers would turn to lower-cost alternatives, reducing the amount of inflation they experience. For example, if the price of beef increases while the price of pork does not, people will buy more pork rather than pay the higher beef prices.

What it would save:

The change would reduce the federal budget deficit by $230 billion over the next decade, according to Obama’s budget proposal. Of that, $100 billion would come from higher tax revenues because annual inflation adjustments to tax brackets, the standard deduction and personal exemptions would be smaller.

See also:

How it’s perceived:

The proposed change is unpopular among many Democrats in Congress and advocates for seniors who complain that it would disproportionately hit low- and middle-income families.

It’s popular among budget hawks because it cuts benefits and increases taxes gradually, in ways that might not be readily apparent to most Americans. The savings, however, become substantial over time.

What would be cut:

Obama’s budget proposal did not specify the impact on individual benefit programs. The Congressional Budget Office in an earlier analysis estimated the total benefit reductions over the next decade at:

  • Social Security: $127 billion;
  • Federal retirement programs for military and civilian workers and Supplemental Security Income: $38 billion.
  • Medicare and Medicaid: $29 billion;
  • On average, annual increases in Social Security payments, government pensions and veterans’ benefits would be about 0.3 percentage points smaller each year, according to the chief actuary for the Social Security Administration.

NOT FOR REPRINT

© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.