A number of policy-makers have blamed the decade-long rise in commodity prices and recent market volatility on the growing influence of financial investors and called for new regulation restricting their participation in commodity markets. Market financialization has also led investors to worry about higher integration between commodity and traditional financial markets weakening the portfolio benefits of commodity investment.
EDHEC-Risk Institute Professor Joëlle Miffre addresses these concerns in a study released recently entitled “Long-Short Commodity Investing: Implications for Portfolio Risk and Market Regulation,” produced with market data and support from CME Group.
The study first examines the performance and risk characteristics of long-only commodity index investments favoured by passive investors and of long/short commodity strategies of the kind implemented by hedge fund managers.
Over 1992-2011, strategies involving going long and short in commodity futures based on signals such as momentum, term structure or hedging pressure are found to dominate investment in long-only commodity indices, in terms of raw as well as risk-adjusted performance.
The low correlations of long-only and long/short commodity portfolios with equities and bonds confirm the strategic role of commodity investments as diversifiers of both equity and fixed income risks. While the correlation between long-only commodity portfolios and equities has risen sharply since the downfall of Lehman Brothers, long/short investing continues to offer excellent diversification benefits.