The Center for Retirement Research at Boston College recently completed an academic analysis of five national surveys that are frequently used to measure the financial resources available to American households in retirement. The goal was to objectively study the question of whether the U.S. Census Bureau’s Current Population Survey (CPS) actually understates retirement income in the U.S.
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To create a solid base of comparison to the CPS numbers, the Boston College research team studied data from four other sources:
- The Survey of Consumer Finances, which captures both regular and irregular income every three years;
- The Health and Retirement Study, which surveys American households in which the head is age 51 or older, and collects in-depth information regarding different sources of income;
- The Survey of Income and Program Participation, which evaluates the financial eligibility of households for government programs on an annual basis; and
- The Panel Study of Income Dynamics, which has been conducting surveys since 1968 to assess how much income was realized by households in the previous calendar year.
The Boston College research team analyzed all of the available data to study whether households would be able to replace 75% of their income in retirement by evaluating income from a variety of perspectives (e.g., final-year earnings, average of last five years of earnings, average earnings over course of career and average wage-indexed career earnings). Unfortunately, looking at the various sources of households’ estimated retirement income, even the most reliable survey data produces a similarly disconcerting result.
After reviewing data from all five of these surveys, the research team published a report finding that roughly half of older American households are likely to face a shortfall in the retirement income they will need. The percentage of retirees at risk ranged from 42% to 60%, depending on the income definitions applied, in the various statistical models used by researchers.
What This Means For Your Clients
The research team’s report provides new scientific evidence that financial advisors would be well-served to consider and should prompt all of us to challenge ourselves with this question: How can you help your clients who were unable to accumulate enough wealth to provide the basis for sufficient retirement income in their golden years?
Of course, Social Security may provide some assistance and perhaps a company pension plan may offer some additional income stream, but many retirees lack the health and marketability to generate the missing funds needed for their future income needs. With little or no time left for them to work, earn and save money, how can we help them fill this gap?