The Federal Insurance Office is worrying about product surrenders at life, health and annuity issuers.
The FIO, an arm of the U.S. Treasury Department, talks about a big increase in surrenders at the companies in its latest annual report.
Surrenders increased 12% between 2020 and 2021, to $363 billion, and surrenders amounted to 52% of the insurers' 2021 net premium revenue, FIO officials write.
"Year-over-year growth in surrenders has been averaging 4.6%, while the annual growth rate for net premium receipts has been averaging 0.9% over the same 10-year period," officials note.
What It Means
Life and health insurers have been doing well, overall, and the companies' cash and invested assets increased 5% in 2021, officials say.
But the FIO adds that the increase in surrenders could be a sign that policyholders might be taking cash out of relatively low-return products because they believe that inflation is increasing, interest rates will be rising, and they'll do better investing money elsewhere.
If that analysis is correct, that could be a sign that rating analysts' predictions could be coming true, and rising rates are leading to some "disintermediation," or customers' moves to pull cash away from insurers.
For you and your clients, those moves could be a sign that you're staying awake and doing a good job reallocating the clients' assets in response to changing conditions.
For insurers, disintermediation could sit in their asset totals like a tapeworm.
