Nasdaq Heads for Biggest 2-Month Slump Since 2008 as Risks Pile Up

The tech index is down 13.7% this year as rampant inflation, rising rates and Russia’s war with Ukraine send markets on a bumpy ride.

February probably hasn’t felt like the shortest month of the year for investors in technology stocks, with constant volatility building on what was already the sector’s worst start to a year since 2016. And it looks like the month will end on another gloomy note Monday.

Risks piled up, as rampant inflation underlined expectations of higher interest rates and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine sent markets on a bumpy ride.

The Nasdaq 100 Index is down 13.7% this year, including a 0.7% drop on Monday. It is poised for its biggest two-month slump since 2008 and its first back-to-back monthly declines since late 2020.

Among notable superlatives for February, Tesla Inc. is poised for its biggest monthly drop in a year, while Apple Inc. is headed for the biggest since September. Meta Platforms Inc. is looking at its steepest monthly drop on record, down more than 30% in the wake of a catastrophic earnings report.

On Monday, Apple fell 0.6%, Microsoft lost 0.5%, Amazon.com slid 1.2%, Alphabet dropped 1.1%, and Meta declined 1.5%. Tesla rose 1.9%.

Bulls point out that better-than-forecast earnings plus the slump in stock prices means valuations are now more reasonable. And the Nasdaq 100 has held up well since the war started, gaining the past two sessions.

Yet the economic impact of the invasion remains unknown, and the Federal Reserve is still poised to raise interest rates.

“This is the most difficult environment we’ve had in years,” said Ted Mortonson, a technology strategist at Robert W. Baird & Co. “I don’t think the rate environment is fully factored in, and we are dealing with secular inflation, which makes this cycle different. Sentiment is somewhere between fear and panic right now, and I don’t think we’ve seen panic yet.”

In a sign of how widespread the selloff is in U.S. stocks, more than 70% of the stocks in the Nasdaq Composite Index are now trading below their 200-day moving average, the highest such level since the peak of the pandemic selloff in 2020.

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