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March 08, 2018 at 12:48 PM
Business executives in a new survey expressed optimism about the U.S. economy, but showed increased concern about inflation, the American Institute of CPAs reported Thursday.
Seventy-nine percent of business leaders who responded to the survey said they were upbeat about prospects for the economy, up from last quarter’s post-recession high of 74%. The report noted that optimism levels were as low as 28% in early 2016.
Respondents’ view of their own companies’ outlook over the next 12 months also set a post-recession record, with 71% expressing optimism.
The poll was conducted Feb. 6 to 21 among 818 CPAs who hold leadership positions, such as chief financial officer or controller, in their companies.
The new survey found respondents’ increased concern about inflation particularly acute, with 49% saying they considered it a greater risk than deflation over the next six months, up from 27% in the fourth quarter. In the previous five years, the report said, this figure had never exceeded 38%.
Respondents cited — in order — labor costs, raw material costs and interest rate hikes as the chief inflationary risk factors.
“Business executives are drawing a lot of confidence from current economic indicators, and cite federal tax reform and deregulation as two factors in their improved outlook over the next year,” Arleen Thomas, AICPA’s managing director of Americas and global offerings, said in a statement.
“At the same time, we’re seeing an uptick in concerns often associated with a hot economy, from talent pool issues to rising inflation fears.”
On the job front, half of respondents said their companies had the right number of employees. Hiring plans continued to improve from the fourth quarter, with 27% of companies polled saying they planned to fill positions immediately, up two percentage points. Another 14% acknowledged they had too few employees, but said they were hesitant to hire, up one point.
Finding the right candidates remained the No. 1 challenge for businesses for the third quarter in a row, according to the report.
The AICPA noted that its quarterly survey is a forward-looking indicator that tracks hiring and business-related expectations for the next 12 months, whereas the U.S. Department of Labor’s employment report looks back on the previous month’s hiring trends.
