More insurers have been pulling out of the Affordable Care Act-enabled exchanges, and recent counts suggest that 45 or more counties may soon have no ACA market options at all. Three major insurers are dropping out – one state by state – and several others are reluctant to commit to anything until they’re more certain about the ACA’s future.
Among those that remain, premium hikes are becoming part and parcel to doing business in the individual market. The average premium rose by about 25 percent from 2016 to 2017, and in several states, insurers are requesting increases of 50 percent or more.
Fortunately for most retirees and pre-retirees, this activity won’t have much effect on Medicare or employer-provided plans – at least not yet. Still, there are a few situations that warrant concern – particularly for clients with a gap between the time that they retire and the age at which they become eligible for Medicare.
To allay clients’ fears and help them make financially sound health care decisions, advisors will need to stay abreast of the unfolding situations.
Higher premiums, lower competition
What’s the reason for the current state of affairs?
“I think the main reason companies are pulling out is due to the restrictions that require them to insure people with pre-existing conditions,” says Garrett Ball, owner of Secure Medicare Solutions.
Combined with the IRS’ weak enforcement of the individual mandate, this factor results in fewer healthy people to balance out the risk pool.
“Health insurance carriers’ decisions to pull out of these exchanges isn’t a new phenomenon,” adds Ryan McCostlin of Bernard Health. “While the group and Medicare markets are more stable, the individual health insurance market is unpredictable at best, and it’s a segment where most insurers have been losing money the last few years.”
Where Medicare stands
Fortunately, Medicare seems as stable as ever.
“Since the ACA came into law, I haven’t seen a big impact on either the number of companies or the rates in the Medicare market,” says Ball.
The average Medicare Advantage premium actually dropped from $32.60 in 2016 to $31.40 in 2017, and Part B premiums have fluctuated between $100 and $134 between 2010 and 2017.
One might worry about the ripple effect of individual market instability that might reach Medicare, but that doesn’t seem to be a risk.
“Companies participating in both markets will continue to compete with companies participating in Medicare but not in the individual segment, and they can’t afford to just raise premiums as their competitors offer better rates,” says McCostlin.
If anything, Medicare’s stability will continue to draw insurers away from the exchanges and into the over-65 market.
“One possible effect on Medicare is that we’ll see even greater competition, which could be a good things for rates,” says Ball.