Despite lagging in polls on fixing the economy, a favorability rating even with Mitt Romney, and his health care reform law in the hands of the Supreme Court, 56% believe President Obama will win re-election, according to a USA Today gallop poll. “It’s been long established that voters want a president they’re comfortable with,” said Jennifer Duffy, senior editor with the Cook Political Report. “What’s his favorite pastime? Playing basketball. He likes hanging out with his kids. It’s clear he’s a parent like most parents. He talks about his wife.” However, plenty of well-liked presidents ended up as one-termers, said Larry Sabato, director of the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics. “Presidential decisions are a product of economic conditions and job approval. It’s wonderful to be liked, but it doesn’t affect the vote that much.”
Opponents of young indexes say they're unrealistically pretty. Supporters say they're efficient.
A Wilshire survey identifies geopolitics and monetary policy as possible catalysts for the next downturn.
Bank exposure channels, insurance companies and pension funds may be at risk, Fitch said.
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