In fact, the real driver of Bear’s stock price was bond buyers. Having purchased debentures at 60 cents on the dollar, news of the JPMorgan deal drove bond prices near par on the 24th. The way bond buyers gamed it, if the Morgan deal somehow went bust, Bear would almost certainly go to a higher bidder. In that case, what is good for the shareholders is bad for the bondholders, as a busted deal would all but eliminate the profits the latter group were sitting on. As a result, bondholders had no choice but to buy Bear stock to diversify their risks.
Sound familiar? A well-balanced portfolio can provide significant shelter from equity market volatility. In the first quarter of 2008, for example, the worst days for stocks ended with significant gains for bonds, and vice versa. Such non-correlation enables investors to weather financial storms, which ensures their participation during good periods for financial assets.
The Monthly Index Report for March 2008
Index |
Mar-08 |
QTD |
YTD |
Description |
S&P 500 Index* |
-0.60% |
-9.92% |
-9.92% |
Large-cap stocks |
DJIA* |
-0.03% |
-7.55% |
-7.55% |
Large-cap stocks |
Nasdaq Comp.* |
0.34% |
-14.07% |
-14.07% |
Large-cap tech stocks |
Russell 1000 Growth |
-0.61% |
-10.18% |
-10.18% |
Large-cap growth stocks |
Russell 1000 Value |
-0.75% |
-8.72% |
-8.72% |
Large-cap value stocks |
Russell 2000 Growth |
-0.58% |
-12.83% |
-12.83% |
Small-cap growth stocks |
Russell 2000 Value |
-1.51% |
-6.53% |
-6.53% |
Small-cap value stocks |
EAFE |
-1.00% |
-8.82% |
-8.82% |
Europe, Australasia & Far East Index |
Lehman Aggregate |
0.34% |
2.17% |
2.17% |
U.S. Government Bonds |
Lehman High Yield |
-0.34% |
-3.02% |
-3.02% |
High Yield Corporate Bonds |
Calyon Financial Barclay Index** |
0.13% |
6.49% |
6.49% |
Managed Futures |
3-mo. Treasury Bill*** |
0.22% |
0.99% |
0.99% |
|
All returns are estimates as of March 31, 2008. *Return numbers do not include dividends. ** Returns are estimates as of March 28, 2008. |
Ben Warwick is CIO of Memphis-based Sovereign Wealth Management. He can be reached at [email protected].