Close Close
Popular Financial Topics Discover relevant content from across the suite of ALM legal publications From the Industry More content from ThinkAdvisor and select sponsors Investment Advisor Issue Gallery Read digital editions of Investment Advisor Magazine Tax Facts Get clear, current, and reliable answers to pressing tax questions
Luminaries Awards
ThinkAdvisor
money dissolving

Retirement Planning > Social Security > Social Security Funding

Social Security Retirement Fund Will Run Dry in 2033: Trustees Report

X
Your article was successfully shared with the contacts you provided.

The asset reserves of the Social Security Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Trust Fund, which pays benefits to retirees, are projected to become depleted in 2033 — the same as projected in 2023.

Income from payroll tax revenue is expected to fund 79% of scheduled Social Security benefits in 2033, according to the just-released 2024 trustees report.

The Disability Insurance Trust Fund is not projected to run out within the trustees’ 75-year projection period — the same conclusion made in the group’s 2023 report.

When combined, funds for both Social Security and disability payments are set to become depleted and unable to pay scheduled benefits in full on a timely basis in 2035 — one year later than projected in 2023. At that point, tax revenue used to fund both programs is expected to cover 83% of scheduled benefits.

In written comments shared with ThinkAdvisor about the new projections, Jason Fichtner, chief economist at the Bipartisan Policy Center, said the American public has long known that Social Security is on an unsustainable financial path — but that doesn’t make today’s news any less troubling.

“Today’s Social Security Trustees report marks yet another year of inaction by lawmakers to protect this crucial program on which so many Americans depend,” Fichtner said. “Too few politicians are willing to propose serious reforms and make the difficult choices needed to strengthen and save the program. Instead, leading voices on both sides of the aisle have buried their heads in the sand, proposing purely partisan policies or vowing not to touch the program.”

Fichtner said the political impasse is leading Americans towards an automatic across-the-board benefit cuts of over 20% when the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance trust fund runs dry.

“Only pragmatic, bipartisan policymaking can prevent these cuts,” Fichtner said.

Nancy Altman, president of Social Security Works, echoed that warning in her own written statement, though she highlighted some bright points in the new projection.

“Due to robust job growth, low unemployment and rising wages, more people than ever are contributing to Social Security and earning its needed protections,” Altman said. “As a result, Social Security can pay all promised benefits until 2035, one year longer than projected in last year’s report, and 83% of benefits thereafter, also an improvement over last year — even if Congress takes no action whatsoever.”

Other data in the new report shows the asset reserves of the combined trust funds declined by $41 billion in 2023 to a total of $2.788 trillion. The total annual cost of the program is projected to exceed total annual income in 2024 and remain higher throughout the 75-year projection period. Total costs began to be higher than total income in 2021, while Social Security’s cost has exceeded its non-interest income since 2010.

Image: Adobe Stock


NOT FOR REPRINT

© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.