Total invested assets in U.S. insurance general accounts will grow to more than $7 trillion by 2022, according to new research.

So predicts Boston-based research firm Cerulli Associates in its latest report, “U.S. insurance asset pools 2016: Meeting the investment needs of the U.S. insurance industry.” The study examines trends and opportunities in the insurance market, the unique needs of insurance companies, and the business challenges they face.

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Because of persistently low-interest interests, insurers are increasing their exposure to “risk assets” to meet their investment goals. As a result, the report says, insurance carriers will outsource more assets to third-party asset managers.

“Managers seeking to work with insurance companies should be aware there are a lot of logistical and cultural dynamics at play when insurers decide to outsource investment functions,” says Cerulli Director Alexi Maravel.

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Asset managers surveyed by Cerulli said insurers seeking to diversity sources of income and returns will direct the largest share of their investment dollars to fixed-income vehicles. The reason: These instruments dovetail best with insurers’ investment objectives, which favor “credit over duration exposure” and generate “better yields than public market bonds,” according to Maravel.

The report adds that carriers will need to prepare for an unexpected interest rate increase. Many of the investment professionals Cerulli polled, though uncertain as to the timing of a rate rise, are adjusting their portfolios in anticipation.

“As institutional investors, they must prepare for that surprise, strong rate reversal,” says Maravel. “This management of duration exposure is especially predominant among property and casualty insurers, which generally have shorter-term liabilities and assets than life insurance companies.”

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Total invested assets in U.S. insurance general accounts stood at nearly $5.7 trillion at year-end 2015, barely higher than total assets in 2014, according to Cerulli Associates. (Photo: Thinkstock)

Among the report’s key findings:

    • Managers anticipate the largest increases in corporate private placement fixed income (67 percent), investment-grade corporate (public) fixed income, (62 percent), real estate debt or equity (55 percent), and floating-rate or bank-loan securities (54 percent).

    • Total invested assets in U.S. insurance general accounts stood at nearly $5.7 trillion at year-end 2015, barely higher than total assets in 2014.

    • A majority of (internal) insurance company investment professionals (53 percent) say they currently outsource public equity while 44 percent indicate they are considering outsourcing high-yield bonds.

    • Nearly three-quarters (71 percent) of institutional asset managers and consultants say their insurance clients are considering alternative investments to protect against a surprise reversal in interest rates. More than half (57 percent) say their clients are increasing credit exposure.

    • When asked about the top strategies they manage for insurance separate accounts (e.g., variable annuities) platforms, 62 percent of insurance asset managers cite investment-grade corporate bond strategies.

    • Insurance asset managers report being equally “very likely” (36 percent) to get subadvisory business on individual variable annuities, group life, and group annuity platforms.

    • After a steep decline of more than 100 basis points in the four years leading up to 2015, book yields on the assets backing captive insurance companies have rebounded 13 basis points. As of year-end 2015, alternative assets in captive insurance companies are almost double what they were in 2010 ($849 million).

 

Related:

U.S. individual life insurance premium increases 6 percent in 2015

Big insurers will get less costly capital standard, Tarullo says

S&P panelists: Insurance industry is ‘ripe for disruption’

Artificially low interest rates: Eye on 3 consequences

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