Is the Art Bubble About to Pop?

Experts explain what factors usually lead to a crash in fine art prices

Picasso's creations still fetch millions. Picasso's creations still fetch millions.

For those clients with an extra $20 million or so burning a hole in their pocket, is it time to invest in—or bail out of—the collectible art market?

Prices paid at the high-end auctions certainly have been drawing attention, with Christie’s and Sotheby’s selling over $2 billion in art this November.

Kräussl has researched the market’s price moves and has found that “an important rise in prices of artworks does not necessarily mean that there is an active speculative bubble in the art market.” He has applied statistical analysis designed for bubble detection to almost a million painting auctions from the past 35 years.

His findings? The Impressionist and Modern segment has rebounded since its correction from the 1991 bubble, but it is not yet in new bubble territory.

Page 1 of 2
Single page view Reprints Discuss this story

Related

To Profit in Art Market, Know Your Niches

Globally and nationally, buyers need to keep up with trends in market segments if they want to trade art for...

Most Recent Videos

Video Library ››