Minutes of the meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) on Feb. 15 revealed that opinion was split, but predominantly in favor of a continuation of easy monetary policy into next year.
The minutes, released Tuesday, also showed a difference of opinion on whether bond buying should continue, and that concerns over inflation were rising. Meanwhile, in a speech at the Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank Financial Markets Conference on Monday, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke was talking up the need for strong regulation and oversight of clearinghouses.
With consumer prices on the rise thanks to higher energy prices and increasing food prices, concerns over inflation, according to the minutes, bear close watching lest increases continue and an inflationary psychology take hold. In the end, however, the committee decided on an eventual exit from current monetary conditions, with tightening to take place in the event of several circumstances. It was expected that bond-buying could cease on June 30 as planned, without disruption of the markets.
While Bernanke did not address the state of the economy in his speech, he did say that, simply because clearinghouses functioned well on the whole during the financial crisis, "We should not take for granted that we will be as lucky in the future." He said that the Fed was working with both the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and the SEC to implement Dodd-Frank provisions that are designed to better coordinate supervision of clearinghouses, to avoid just such an eventuality.